Showing posts with label Yishmael. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Yishmael. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Back to the Pyramids




 The Prophets Isaiah and Ezekiel speak very vividly about Egypt's demise in the End of Days.
And all of a sudden - Egypt is falling?! [again]




BBC:


Clashes broke out at rival protests across the country overnight, with at least 16 pro-Morsi protesters killed at a demonstration at Cairo University.

The army has said it will shed its blood to defend Egypt against "any terrorist, radical or fool".

Mr Morsi insists he is the legitimate leader and will not give in to "violence and thuggery" by resigning.

In a defiant televised speech on Tuesday evening, he too said he would give his life to defend constitutional legitimacy, and blamed the unrest on corruption and remnants of the ousted regime of Hosni Mubarak.

Calling for protesters to respect the rule of law, he urged the establishment of a committee of reconciliation as well as a charter of ethics for the media, and said he was prepared to meet all groups and individuals as part of a national dialogue process.

'Terrorists and fools' The army has given a deadline of around 16:30 local time (14:30 GMT) on Wednesday for the crisis to be dealt with.

In a statement posted on its Facebook page after Mr Morsi's speech was broadcast - under the title, "Final Hours" - it said: "We swear to God that we will sacrifice even our blood for Egypt and its people, to defend them against any terrorist, radical or fool."

Media reports say the army's plan includes the outline for new presidential elections, the suspension of the new constitution and the dissolution of parliament.

However one military source told Reuters those reports were not true, and that the deadline would mark the beginning of talks about what should be done next.

On Tuesday, Mr Morsi met the head of the armed forces, Gen Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, for a second consecutive day. No details of the talks, which also included Prime Minister Hisham Qandil, were released.

Military sources earlier told the BBC the president's position was becoming "weaker" with every passing minute and suggested that, under the draft plan, he could be replaced by a council of cross-party civilians and technocrats ahead of new elections.

The president was put under further pressure by the resignation of six ministers from his government on Monday, including Foreign Minister Kamel Amr.

Mr Morsi became Egypt's first Islamist president on 30 June 2012, after winning an election considered free and fair following the 2011 revolution that toppled Mubarak.

But anger has been growing against him and the Muslim Brotherhood - the party from which he comes. Protesters are angry at the lack of development in post-revolution Egypt - they accuse the Brotherhood of trying to protect its own interests and of pushing an Islamist agenda.

"This is a president threatening his own people. We don't consider him the president of Egypt," said Mohammed Abdelaziz, a leader of the Tamarod (Rebel) campaign, a rapidly growing anti-Morsi opposition movement.

However, Mr Morsi and the Brotherhood still have significant public support, and both sides have drawn huge numbers to rallies in recent days.

The Tamarod movement says more than 22 million people have signed a petition complaining that:

Security has not been restored since the 2011 revolution that toppled Hosni Mubarak The poor "have no place" in society The government has had to "beg" the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a $4.8bn loan to help shore up the public finances There has been "no justice" for people killed by security forces during the uprising and at anti-government protests since then "No dignity is left" for Egyptians or their country The economy has "collapsed", with growth poor and inflation high Egypt is "following in the footsteps" of the US Profile: Tamarod protest movement Thousands gathered in Tahrir Square in central Cairo on Tuesday afternoon to demand Mr Morsi step down. There were outbreaks of violence in several parts of the capital, with casualties reported at hospitals in the north, south and centre of Cairo.

In the largest unrest, at least 16 people were killed and about 200 wounded at Cairo University in Giza. Eyewitness Mostafa Abdelnasser told AFP that Morsi supporters had come under attack from unidentified men carrying firearms.

Clashes were also reported in Alexandria, Egypt's second city, on Tuesday.

Crowds began gathering in Tahrir Square again on Wednesday morning, with numbers expected to rise throughout the day.

On Monday, eight people died as activists stormed and ransacked the Muslim Brotherhood's Cairo headquarters.

In the wake of the latest unrest, the UK Foreign Office has changed its travel advice for Egypt recommending against all but essential travel to the country except for resorts on the Red Sea in South Sinai and in the Red Sea governorate.

The instability has also hit global oil prices, sending US light crude above $100 a barrel for the first time since September last year, amid concerns supply routes through the Suez Canal could be affected.

Monday, May 13, 2013

30 Laws, 7 Laws, 3 Laws, 1 Law - Be Normal

not normal

The Noahide Laws range from 30 to 7 and even to 3 [Chullin] - no gay marriage, honor the Torah, and no cannibalism. It is said that the correct connotation of the gay and murder issues are to not be too liberal with Torah and radical with Torah, so as to lose morality and to lose focus of a proper God fearing society.

As America goes further and further away from the 1950's into a free - for - all of tumah, the Islamic folks are doing their best too to impose radical Torah perversions of their Noahide Code onto society. I think it is safe to say that through Galus Edom the Jews aree being killed by the extermination of Gerim from indulgance, while the Galus Yishmael is attempting to show the World its personal blend of Noahidism, again, in attempt to finish of Jew-daism and eternally pervert Torah.

When will people get it right? There are 620 Commandments, the Jews were commanded in 7 at Marah, and again today, the 4th day at Sinai just before Hashem converted the people into Jews from Noahides with the 10 Commandments. The laws were binding, are binding, and serve as the impetus to do outreach in the Abraham / Noah program to bring Baatei Dinim to the World to make people Gerei Toshavim, forcing the Yovel and Moshiach to come.

The Gerim were given 7, God setteld for 3, hoping it would turn to 7, so that Moshiach could give 30 and opening the door for the Gerim to keep as many as 620 - gematria Keter.

May Hashem soon place his crown amongst man, as hashgacha pratit will become enclothed in the power of man as mazal. As Malchut wil return, so too will Moshiach ben David, showing us how to chase after the heart of God, a heart that loves Gerim, for Hashem has commanded - Love the Gerim. But for that one must honor Torah [as David did] and stop killing and polluting Gerim and their Torah point of view for the sake of an other non violent holocaust not just against Jews through proxy, but against Hashem and all of his peoples.





A video of a Syrian rebel commander cutting the heart out of a soldier and biting into is emblematic of a civil war that has rapidly descended into sectarian hatred and revenge killings, Human Rights Watch said on Monday. The New York-based group said an amateur video posted on the Internet on Sunday shows Abu Sakkar, a founder of the rebel Farouq Brigade who is well known to journalists as an insurgent from Homs, cutting into the torso of a dead soldier. The video has caused outrage among both supporters of President Bashar Assad and opposition figures. "I swear to God we will eat your hearts and your livers, you soldiers of Bashar the dog," the man says to off screen cheers of his comrades shouting "Allahu akbar (God is great)".



 ...one World no longer working to build the Tower of Bavel [abnormal], but the Beit Hamikdash
 - Gerim and Jews together.

messianic-temple.com

Sunday, May 5, 2013

When Damascus Will Cease To Be A City




Here we go...Again...

YNet:



Every Western intelligence agency estimated it would happen soon, and now, according to all indications, it has: Bashar Assad tried to reward Nasrallah and his men - who are fighting and dying for him – by transferring modern, surface-to-surface missiles that would alter the balance of power between the Lebanese Shiite group and Israel. The Jewish state, it was reported, intervened and thwarted, just as the prime minister, defense minister and IDF chief had promised it would. It is safe to assume that the arms convoy was about to leave the storage facility at the Syrian army base toward the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon when it was hit.

The attacked storage facility is apparently located in an isolated base used for training Hezbollah terrorists in the use of "deterrence-breaking" weapons and also serves as a transit station for Nasrallah's organization on the way to Lebanon. Syria has a number of such facilities in the Damascus area and in the coastal region, where most of the Alawite and Shiite-Lebanese population is located. Israeli aircraft flew over Lebanon in the past few days – mainly over south Lebanon, and even carried out simulated attacks. These flyovers were most likely meant to signal to Hezbollah and Syria: We are aware of your intentions and we will not sit idly by – as Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon warned. It seems, at least according to the American media, that the warning signals were ignored, forcing an attack on the arms convoy.

The attack itself, one can assume, was not carried out from within Lebanese territory, but from a long distance. Perhaps even from over the sea. It is known that Israel has lethal long-range weapons systems – such as the Popeye air-to-surface missile manufactured by Rafael – which allows for very accurate hits from a range of over 100 kilometers (62 miles), maybe even much more. Just so you know, Mr. Khamenei.

Among the strategic and modern weapons systems Israel said it would not allow to be transferred to Lebanon are the Scud D ballistic missiles - based on the original Russian Scud – which Syria developed with Iran's funding. These missiles can carry chemical warheads containing the advanced chemical warfare agent VX to a distance of up to 680 kilometers (423 miles). It is important to stress that according to the relatively credible reports from the Pentagon, the attacked weapons systems did not contain chemical warfare agents – but potentially they could have.

The accurate long-range missiles Assad is trying to transfer to Hezbollah present two problems for Israel: They endanger military facilities and civilians from the north almost all the way to Eilat; and they can be activated far from the border – for instance, from the Hezbollah-controlled area in Lebanon's northern Bekaa Valley – in a manner which would make it difficult for Israeli warplanes to reach them quickly and thwart the launching. The good news is that the "Arrow" system is capable of intercepting - if the number of missiles fired does not exceed a certain amount. Therefore, Hezbollah has an interest in receiving from Syria the largest amount possible of ballistic missiles and long-range rockets of all types –mainly Scud missiles.

According to foreign sources, the Assad regime had already succeeded – even before the civil war broke out – to transfer to Hezbollah in Lebanon a small number of Scud D missiles. Israel was aware but refrained from acting due to Washington's objection. It happened roughly two-and-a-half years ago: The American administration feared an Israeli attack would undermine stability in the Middle East, and the fighter jets, which were already in the air, returned to base. It is safe to assume that since then the Obama administration has changed its position on the issue.

The advanced Scud is not the only weapon capable of breaking the balance of deterrence. Other weapons systems are capable of limiting the IDF's ability to operate deep inside Lebanon should Hezbollah decide to launch a missile and rocket attack. These systems mostly include mobile, "stealth," and accurate anti-aircraft missile batteries and radar facilities which are difficult to locate – particularly the SA-17 surface-to-air missiles, which Russia recently supplied to Syria. The request for the SA-17 was made in the aftermath of the strike on Syria's nuclear reactor in 2007. Now Russia is transferring these missiles to deter NATO from operating as it did in Libya. Assad, for his part, is trying to reward Nasrallah and make things difficult for the Israeli Air Force. This is why an SA-17 battery was attacked last January as it was being transferred to from western Damascus to the Lebanese border.

Hezbollah is also after the anti-ship cruise missiles Russia sold Syria, particularly the "Yakhont" missile. Hezbollah already has in its possession obsolete Iranian-made land-to-sea missiles, such as the one that struck the Israeli missile boat "Hanit" during the Second Lebanon War. But the "Yakhont" is much more advanced and dangerous. It has a 300-kilometer (186 miles) range, it flies at a very high altitude and is equipped with the most advanced systems. The "Yakhont" can serve as a very accurate and devastating missile against targets along Israel's coastline if launched from the Syrian or Lebanese coast.

According to military journals in Russia, the "Yakhont" has the ability to zero in on a target very accurately with a GPS system. The missile has the unique ability of being able to cruise several meters above the water surface, making it difficult to detect and intercept. In short, no gas field is safe from this missile, and, should Hezbollah obtain the "Yakhont," it would make it risky for Navy vessels to sail off Lebanon's coast. Just so you know, Mr. Putin.

It is safe to assume that the recent attack targeted surface-to-surface missiles, mostly because Assad and his army do not need these missiles to fight the rebels and can therefore afford to transfer them to Nasrallah, so he could use them against Israel when the opportunity arises (from Nasrallah and Iran's standpoint). If such an opportunity does not arise, Hezbollah will be asked to return the missiles to the Syrian army, in the event that Assad's regime survives.

In addition, the Syrian regime fears that after it used nerve gas against its citizens the West and NATO may launch a military operation. Obama has already said that such an operation would not be conducted on the ground, meaning it would mostly likely be launched from the air, from bases in Turkey, for instance, as well as from the sea – from aircraft carriers and destroyers. One of the plans is to attack missiles that can be used to launch chemical weapons. In order to fend off such an attack the Syrian army would need all its modern surface-to-air batteries and every "Yakhont" launcher it currently has or can obtain from Russia. Therefore, it is unlikely that Assad will transfer vital weapons systems to Hezbollah in Lebanon at this time.

It is interesting that the reports of the recent attack came from Washington and not from sources in the region. During the attack on the SA-17 battery a few months ago, the US remained silent, but gave the impression that it was not against the operation and that it was justified, because Israel is entitled to defend itself. Obama reaffirmed this position during his visit in March. The US made it very clear it does not want "game-changing" advanced weapons to be transferred from Syria to terror elements – particularly Hezbollah. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel reiterated this position during his meeting with Ya'alon last month.

Now Washington is making sure to leak to all American media outlets that Israel attacked and what the target was. It is safe to assume that this tactic was employed because Assad's regime tried to "save face" and conceal the blow it had received, and also because the Obama administration, in accordance with its new agreements with Israel, it trying to show Syria and its supporters – Iran, Russia and China – that the US is serious when it says that "all options are on the table." The message: We stand by Israel when it protects itself.


Damascus Falls...Moshiach Comes

Sunday, February 3, 2013

Damascus Will Cease To Be A City - Oy!

Damascus
Could the plot thicken any more?!

Just after Israel bombed Syria, I was in a cab, and we began to talk about it [I like to get the local's opinions, rather than my daas as the dumb American].

He says in response to my 'will Iran hit us now?' - "Iran, no, this is the end of the World [if they do this]."

Every moment this just gets more and more complicated: Russia checking America and Israel, throw in Iran and Syria [and I guess Turkey now is coming in], the whole Middle east  and esp. Egypt.

This is nothing new obviously, but the intensity is up many levels; my Israeli friends in the North are taking it serious...the last time that happened was '66 [Lebanon War].

Point being, all the players are [still] here, acting accordingly, and it seems now everyone is on the same page: waiting.


The Voice of Russia:


Israel has become involved in the Syrian conflict. The Israeli air force has delivered a blow on a research centre on the outskirts of Damascus. Syria, Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah are threatening Israel with retaliation. Experts of the Voice of Russia say that Israel’s tactics have considerably increased the risk of a new conflict in the Middle East.

Russia has condemned Israel’s activities calling them an unprovoked attack against a sovereign state. This is a gross violation of the UN Charter and is unacceptable, whatever its motives are, the Russian Foreign Ministry’s manifest reads.

Syria’s representative in the UN has declared that Damascus reserves the right for retaliatory measures. Khaled Davud, a representative of the National Salvation Front, expressed the opinion of most Syrians in his interview with The Voice of Russia.

There are several versions of the incident. The radical Syrian opposition states that Israeli aircraft bombed the chemical weapons research centre headed by the Syrian president’s brother. The Washington Post reports that Israel did not destroy the centre but only a motorcade transporting Russian-made anti-aircraft guns to Lebanon. Another version is that the motorcade was carrying Yakhont anti-ship missiles or even Skad strategic/tactical missiles.

Israel refrains from comments but Lebanese political scientist Imad Rizk says that they are not required because explanations lie on the surface.

"The timing of the attack is symptomatic. Binyamin Netanyahu has returned to big politics. He needed that operation to consolidate the Israeli government and his own position in it. Next, a new Secretary of State, John Kerry, has been appointed in the US. The Israeli and US military held consultations the day before the bombing. It looks like the attack became the US and Israel’s joint declaration of intending to participate in the Syrian conflict. We can expect an open coordination of activities between Israel, the US and their allies in the Middle East.”

This week witnessed Israel’s first but not last blow on Syria, Vladimir Sotnikov from the Institute of Oriental Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences believes.

“Israel will keep delivering blows on facilities or forces participating in the Syrian conflict. They would be either Islamist groups of troops loyal to Bashar al-Assad. I can foresee that as the crisis becomes worse Israel could expand its participation in such attacks. Israel fears the Islamic element in the Syrian crisis. The main reason for concern is not so much Islamists’ raising their heads in Syria but the prospect of a link between Islamists in Syria and Hamas and Hezbollah groups that are Israel’s traditional enemies. It would be a nightmare for Israel to find itself surrounded by them.

Herbie Keynon, The Jerusalem Post’s diplomatic editor, told The Voice of Russia that Israel was ready for a counterattack.

Israel’s attack against Syria took place immediately after Turkey deployed NATO Patriot missile systems on the Syrian border.

Under the circumstances, efforts on the settlement of the Syrian crisis become especially important. The main expectations are associated with special envoy of the UN and the League of Arab States Lahdar Brahimi’s new peace plan. Russia has announced that it supports his efforts. Moscow finds it reasonable to continue discussions in the Action Group for Syria which consists of the permanent members of the UN Security Council and the main regional forces.

Does Zionism Burn Until Jordan?


Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Israel In Prophecy: Facing Jordan




Authentic [even a tad radical] Zionism that leans Right claims Israel extends beyond the Jordan. The Left counters with its views as a perfect negative [and opposite extreme]. And nowadays people speak as moderates, while claims of selling out Israel are often heard in the background.

But did anyone notice Arab Spring - and happen to take in the last 100+ years of Zionism to form a long view perspective? We may be looking at the closing of one long tekufa in the making that will bring us to Zionism 1.0 as a conclusion, and into 2.0: the Messiah version [and vision of Eretz Yisrael].

When Zionism first became the vehicle of choice to govern in the Land [and to the Land] while lending itself as a viable method of vision, its extreme blend had a purpose, one that has lasted all the way until today and led to the very threshold that we find ourselves sitting upon today. In 2013 you will hear Zionism speaking of becoming moderate, yet make no mistake, this is not a change of winds; this is the echo of a mission nearly complete.

In 1948, the Jews return to their Land, disheveled from 2000 years of Trauma, and suddenly take to Israel with 6,000,000 questions as to where to go from here. An immediate redemption although poetic to the ear, would be a cause of sure destruction, so a plan would be needed to bring this thing up to speed. Let the  War of Independence begin!

Israel will eventually [seem] to win this war, and the struggle will continue over 60+ years of the same themes and characters, over and over again. The same questions will remain - are we being sold out and when will Israel finally fall victim to her neighbors?

However after much deliberation and commitment to extreme Zionism, something  changed [in the time of the Zohar's predicted times even!]: Arab Spring - in its season.

With perfect deception in perspective, people look to see where it began, however it is the end game that matters in any round of chess - on any level.

The end game here is Jordan.

Jordan possesses the three prophesied gifts to Eretz Yisrael: Edom, Moav, and Ammon, al to be given once The Land - Proper is secured, something that even King David did not do, before his Syrian conquest.

Speaking of Syria: they are about to fall, causing   black hole eruption that will indeed pull in the kingdom of Yishamel - Iran. When that happens, the Middle East is in total collapse [except Israel no less] with refugees seeking to pour into an already [mysteriously] weakened Jordan. If Jordan is the last player in this, Israel is last man standing - but in face of international isolation as the price to pay for victory.

This paves the way for Gog Magog onto Israel. But now there is a catch: Even if America lands on Holy soil to negotiate the final [solution] two state submission, Israel now speaks as moderates?

With Jordan down and last - now Israel can create a Palestinian State from the former Jordan which happens to be the original Palestinian State [if even that existed].

At this point Authentic Zionism served her purpose, paved the path to a redemption scenario, and allows the prophesied lands to be delivered  as if giftwrapped and served on a platter.

So if indeed Zionism caused Arab Spring, and Jordan is the main course [while the Right with Left opposition worked like a charm] we may be looking the frail beginning of redemption, a vision shining through after over 100 years in the making.  No longer is the modern moderate seen as a sellout, but rather as a captain steering the ship into port.

If Bibi signs the draft of a future treifa state, it is my belief that this is no less than divine engineering of a promise delivered thousands of years ago.

Much like the Para Adumah - from the impure comes forth the pure, and as we saw in Parashas Beshalach - from the bitter comes the sweet. Nothing is more bitter than this Palestinian State - and for this we are told, with Hope to Hashem, we will witness those waters become something sweet for the whole World to drink.

May we soon taste the sweet waters of the World through the sweet channel of the Beis Hamikdash, that will be built on The Holy Land, and through its expansion of Promised Territory TransJordan. For Your Salvation [Hashem] - We Hope To You [God]!





Jpost.com:


 While not ready to sign a comprehensive peace deal, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is willing to establish an interim Palestinian state without a final agreement, former deputy foreign minister Yossi Beilin said on Monday.

Speaking during a debate with outgoing settlement council head Danny Dayan, Beilin stated that he had heard from Netanyahu that he would be ready for establishing a “provisional border with the Palestinians.”

“This is something that I heard from him that he would be ready to do it,” he stated.

The debate, held at the David Citadel Hotel in Jerusalem, was organized by the American Jewish Committee.

“Both sides prefer a permanent agreement but are not ready for it under either’s current leadership,” Beilin continued.

Beilin, who was one of the primary architects of both the Oslo Accords and the Geneva Initiative, a framework for peace negotiated outside of official government channels, noted that “what can be done is an interim agreement which establishes a Palestinian state in provisional borders so that Netanyahu will not have to negotiate now about Jerusalem.”

“Netanyahu, far from being a warmonger, is a very cautious person and therefore not the one [to sign] a permanent agreement. This is not because he doesn’t want it but because he is not ready to pay the price.”

Beilin negated the possibility of an accord such as his Geneva Initiative being workable in the current political climate or with the “current government.”

He also asserted that instead of the prime minister being forced to deal with the issue of forcibly evacuating settlements, any settlers who would wish to remain in their homes under Palestinian sovereignty would be allowed to do so. Those not wishing to live within a Palestinian state would be resettled, Beilin said, possibly even in other areas over the green line that Israel would retain.

“Knowing Bibi,” he said, using Netanyahu’s nickname, “I believe an interim solution could be realistic.”

However, the Prime Minister’s Office denied Beilin’s statements. Speaking to The Jerusalem Post in response to Beilin’s comments, PMO officials noted that Netanyahu “believes in direct negotiations with the Palestinians with no preconditions that would lead to, as described in the Bar-Ilan speech, a two-state solution based on a demilitarized Palestinian state that recognizes Israel.”

Settlement council head Dayan also had an alternative peace plan on hand.

Currently, he said, Israel and the Palestinians “are devising a modus vivendi that is moderately satisfying for everyone. It’s not idyllic or what we or Palestinians want, but it’s moderately satisfying, and in this region it’s a hell of an achievement.”

There is currently no long-term solution, he said, but should Jordan experience regime change, it may be possible to push the idea of Jordan as a Palestinian state.

“There is a significant chance for two states, Israel west of the Jordan River and Palestine to the east, with joint functional control over Judea and Samaria, although not shared sovereignty,” he speculated. “That will be the beginning of serious negotiations, in which Israel [eventually] rules the Jewish population there and Palestine rules the territory in which their people live there.”

The debate was held during a dinner for the Board of Governors Institute of the AJC, which is currently in Israel as part of a regional tour.

AJC director David Harris, whose staff organized the debate, noted that members of the board were granted an audience with King Abdullah of Jordan in Amman on Sunday and had met with both President Shimon Peres and Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday.

“This evening is sort of quintessential AJC,” Harris noted. “We always have a major debate as part of our programming. We invite people who are thoughtful and reasoned but have certain perspectives on key issues. We listen to them respectfully and we process the information. Tonight’s debate was very much in that spirit.”





"Jordan has not avoided Arab awakening or Arab Spring completely but there were actually some protests. And a number of protests that took place in the country over the last two years is actually incomparable with the number of protests that used to take place earlier," Ibrahim Saif, resident scholar at the Carnegie Middle East Center, in Beirut, told the Voice of Russia.

Jordan has not avoided Arab awakening or Arab Spring completely but there were actually some protests. And a number of protests that took place in the country over the last two years is actually incomparable with the number of protests that used to take place earlier. Also the ceiling of the demands by protesters was increasing over time since the Arab awakening. Over the last two years they were demanding the reform of the regime and then they wanted to introduce new issues like constitutional monarchy and to limit the king’s power.

So, there was a kind of movement at the streets level and within the elites level and the need to introduce new changes. So, Jordan is one of the countries that are actually going through I would say a transitional moment now. But we can also argue that it is a smooth and managed transition in a way, that so far the opposition parties, including the Islamist and other parties, are not having the critical mass as yet to have something like a popular uprising similar to other countries, like Tunisia or Yemen, or like Egypt in that regard.

And for that there are several reasons that we can consider in understanding why the protests have been minimal, why that so far has not been going up to a way out revolution. There are reasons behind this regarding the nature of the regime, regarding the nature of the social contacts between the state and the society, and the due politics that has been unfolding in the region for that matter.

Sir, but you said that Islamists have not reached the critical mass in power structures and you said – as yet. Does that imply that you do not rule out the scenario of more turbulent development?

Actually if we think about scenarios for Jordan and what would happen, I wouldn’t rule out any of the scenarios. The most likely scenario is that we will continue in this managed transition. But if there is a sort of severe economic deterioration and there is a severely high rate of unemployment, as we witnessed around the end of the last year, and increasing number of poor people, and also the rising sentiment against corruption and lack of action in that regard – that would drive increasing numbers to the streets and could witness a serious trouble in the country. This is one of the scenarios.

But the second scenario which as I argue is the most likely is that the Government is trying to respond to demands at both levels by fighting corruption and having a more participatory policy making. The latest parliamentarian election which by far at least can be characterized as fair election in the sense that there was no forgery, there was no intervention as happened before in the previous elections, though it was boycotted by the Islamists and some opposition groups. But at least the outcome was uncontroversial compared with other previous elections.

So, now we at least have a legitimate legislative body that can take some more fierce measures regarding the political reform in Jordan and introducing a new election law or a new set of rules for governing the new affairs in Jordan.

Several times I’ve run into an assumption that Arab Spring poses a certain challenge for monarchy regimes. So, does that mean that Jordan might be one of the models to argument that position? Or is Jordan's case absolutely special?

Actually I think there are some certain challenges and there are some certain threats. It depends on how you response to this new political landscape in the region and the new political landscape in Jordan. And this challenge could be turned into a threat if you do not act, if you do not react, also if you are sometimes too active and take serious steps towards changing the way that the state-society relations are shaped and how you gain the public support.

But so far actually, since the revolution or the Arab Spring has started, Jordan has amended its constitution, which is for the first time in 50 years when they introduced some constitutional amendments which reduce the absolute power granted to the king and gave it to the Parliament, also reduce the executive body’s power and empower more the elected legislative body in that regard. So, actually there is a new dynamics that is taking place.

Sometimes you would argue that maybe they are slower than they should be and they are quite hesitant but I think this is quite natural in a country where there is an entrenched interested groups that have benefiting from the existing arrangement for a long time and you would expect them to resist the shift to a new dynamics whereby new elites and new interests would emerge and take positions in the new political and economic landscape.

Of course, if you wait, if you don’t react, if you think that all policies would apply today and would reach a conclusive agreement with your own society – then you are definitely mistaken. And a challenge is how really to predict and draft a new social contract and a new political arrangement whereby you increase the level of participation and you don’t take responsibility as a monarchy on your own part or as an individual institution, or a singular institution in the country.

But Sir, definitely there are other factors which are out of control of the Government, like the situation around the country. So, in what ways does the situation in the neighbouring countries affect Jordan? And can the Government efficiently counter those dangerous effects?

There are actually two aspects to what is happening in the region, and particularly in Syria. One thing is that this refugee crisis, which is a kind of humanitarian crisis which puts more pressure on the Government and its own resources and how they are responding to this. And this event unfolding in Syria, so far we don’t know how this would end and what kind of new political regime would prevail in Syria. That fight and that geopolitical threat is out of the Government’s hands, and I agree that that is something we have to include when we talk about the regional aspect of this Arab Spring in that regard.

The second aspect is actually people at the street when they are watching what is happening in Syria, that devastation, that destruction of their infrastructure, the divide in the society, the casualties, the way that the Government and the Army is dealing with its own people has actually put a kind of break to the protest in the street and the public support in the sense that although we are demanding for reforming the polity and reforming the regime in Jordan but nobody wants Jordan to get into the chaotic state that we are witnessing in Syria in that regard. And therefore they are really backing off from supporting any uncalculated movement.

So, I would say that what is happening in Syria to great extent has weakened the more drastic political demand in Jordan and you would find a lot of people actually leaning towards a managed transition. And probably the outcome of this election is actually the reflection of that, I mean the level of participation and the quality of the parliamentarians who reached the Parliament would reflect that flavor of the opposition but also the flavor of how can we improve the status quo and how can we move forward with the light at the end of the tunnel instead of jumping into the unknown. I think this is where the support and Syria has played a significant role in really creating a group of hesitant people because they are unsure about how this would unfold in Syria and what role could the international community play in the crisis similar to the ones in Syria.


Monday, January 28, 2013

Bring On Damascus







Like a game of domino's: Syria, Iran, Egypt, Americana-goga-bama-Putinism [in the north], Damascus...Beis HaMikdash?


YahooNews:



Israel could launch a pre-emptive strike to stop Syria's chemical weapons from reaching Lebanon's Hezbollah or al-Qaida inspired groups, officials said Sunday. The warning came as the military moved a rocket defense system to a main northern city, and Israel's premier warned of dangers from both Syria and Iran. Israel has long expressed concerns that Syrian President Bashar Assad, clinging to power during a 22-month civil war, could lose control over his chemical weapons. 

Vice Prime Minister Silvan Shalom said Sunday that Israel's top security officials held a special meeting last week to discuss Syria's chemical weapons arsenal. The fact of the meeting, held the morning after a national election, had not been made public before.

Shalom told the Army Radio station that the transfer of weapons to violent groups, particularly the Iranian-backed Lebanese Hezbollah, would be a game changer. "It would be crossing a line that would demand a different approach, including even action," he said. Asked whether this might mean a pre-emptive attack, he said: "We will have to make the decisions."

Israel has kept out of the civil war that has engulfed Syria and killed more than 60,000 people, but it is concerned that violence could spill over from its northern border into Israel.

Israel deployed its Iron Dome rocket defense system in the northern city of Haifa on Sunday. The city was battered by Hezbollah rocket fire during a war in the summer of 2006. The military called the deployment "routine."

Iron Dome, an Israel-developed system that shoots down incoming short-range rockets, was used to defend Israeli cities during a round of hostilities with Hamas militants in the Gaza Strip, on Israel's southern flank, last November. Yisrael Hasson, a lawmaker and former deputy head of Israel's Shin Bet intelligence agency, said Israel was closely following developments in Syria to make sure chemical weapons don't "fall into the wrong hands."

"Syria has a massive amount of chemical weapons, and if they fall into hands even more extreme than Syria like Hezbollah or global jihad groups it would completely transform the map of threats," Hasson told Army Radio. "Global jihad" is the term Israel uses for forces influenced by al-Qaida. Syria's rebels include al-Qaida-allied groups.

Syria has rarely acknowledged possessing chemical weapons. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu referred to threats from Syria and Iran at a Cabinet meeting Sunday. Iran is Syria's main regional ally. "We must look around us, at what is happening in Iran and its proxies and at what is happening in other areas, with the deadly weapons in Syria, which is increasingly coming apart," he said.

Israel views Iran as an existential threat because of its nuclear and missile programs and support for violent anti-Israeli groups in Lebanon and Gaza, as well as repeated references by Iranian leaders to Israel's destruction. Iran denies it is seeking to build atomic weapons, insisting its nuclear program is for civilian purposes.

On Friday, Israeli Channel 2 TV broadcast an interview with a former Iranian diplomat who defected to the West in 2010. He warned that if Tehran gets nuclear weapons, it would use them against Israel. He did not provide evidence. Part of Mohammad Reza Heydari's job was to draft foreign scientists to work on Tehran's nuclear program and he brought many from North Korea into Iran, the report said. Heydari spoke from Oslo, where he has received political asylum.



Sunday, January 6, 2013

Step Down Assad: It's Black and White






Here comes the Missiles, chemicals, etc. Now the pressure will be on Iran once Israel and America go into Iran. [Where's Russia?] Once Iran is forced to show the type of "friend" they are/were to Syria, then that faction of Gog Magog will reveal itself...then onto Hezbollah - Hamas, etc..

"Damascus will cease to be a city" - inching ever near. Assad has declared all outright war; his options are either lose, or all out win, i..e chemicals, etc.

Looks like this is narrowing down to last Sar standing, which Daniel has prophesied: in those days Michael will stand with Israel.


CNN:



Syrian President Bashar al-Assad stood firm Sunday against global calls for him to step down, blaming a conspiracy for his country's turmoil and lambasting "enemies" for the incessant bloodshed.

"This is a conflict of those who wanted to take revenge against the people to fragment Syria. Those are the enemies of the people and the enemies of God. And the enemies of God will go to hell," the president told a packed auditorium of supporters. His speech, carried live on state-run TV, is al-Assad's first since June. Since then, tens of thousands of Syrians have been killed, and the country is no closer to a resolution.

During his last publicized speech in June, al-Assad called for unity. "We are in a state of real war, in every aspect of the words. And when we're in a state of war, all of our politics has to be concentrated on winning this war," al-Assad said at the time.

On Sunday, the president denied his forces are behind the 21 months of violence that has wrought misery across the country. "Many have fallen on the trap that the conflict is between the government and the opposition. ... The conflict, ladies and gentlemen, is between the homeland and its enemies -- between the people and the killers and the criminals," al-Assad said. Battles between al-Assad's forces and rebels seeking his ouster are raging closer to the president's doorstep, with some of the fiercest fighting taking place near Damascus.

Recent reports from inside Syria suggest rebels are gaining ground. Opposition fighters chipped away at al-Assad's air power Saturday in the northwestern province of Idlib, where 800 rebels pummeled Taftanaz air base with anti-aircraft guns and tanks, a rebel leader said.

"The fight is closing in on them," rebel leader Capt. Islam Aloush said from Damascus. He said the head of the base was killed. Al-Assad's forces use the base to launch helicopter attacks on nearby towns. Syrian warplanes dropped cluster bombs on Taftanaz in a raid that destroyed several buildings, the opposition Local Coordination Committees of Syria said Saturday. Aloush said his militia and other groups want to target the many military bases in Idlib "to minimize the reach of the regime's warplanes," which opposition say attack civilians areas.

Opposition and government sources report that the extremist al-Nusra Front, which the United States has designated as a terrorist group with links to al Qaeda in Iraq, is taking part in the assault on Taftanaz. Farther south in the Damascus suburbs, government forces have been cutting off food and medical supplies for weeks, Aloush said. "They have sometimes resorted to field executions when they find people smuggling in syringes and other basic medical items," he said. Other dissident groups have also reported the government ratcheting up the violence near the capital.

In an open letter Friday, Ahmed Moaz al-Khatib, head of the National Coalition of Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces, implored the U.N. Security Council and world leaders to take action.

"Our people are subjected to genocide, and our country is being destroyed as the international silence is only encouraging the regime to commit more crimes against humanity," he wrote. "Halting massacres in Syria is an international obligation everyone should bear responsibility for." More than 60,000 people have been killed across Syria since demonstrators protested against the Syrian government in March 2011. CNN cannot independently confirm government or opposition reports out of Syria, as the government has restricted access by journalists.


What Will The New USSR Do Under Gog Putin?!
 My current Gog theory, is that evil leader 101 will all be reincarnate in the End of Days, and the whole party is called Gog V'Magog: the leaders and their nations being swept within.

Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Haredi Power: Heeyow!








YahooNews:


The Palestinian statistics bureau estimates that Arabs will outnumber Jews in the Holy Land by the end of the decade, a scenario that could have grave implications for Israel. The bureau said Tuesday that 5.8 million Arabs live in Israel, the West Bank, Gaza and east Jerusalem. That compares to about 6 million Israeli Jews, according to Israeli data. It said that based on current birth rates, the two populations would be equal in 2016, and in 2020, Arabs would outnumber Jews by 7.2 million to 6.9 million. The demographic issue is a main argument for Israeli backers of creation of a Palestinian state. They say relinquishing control of the Palestinian territories and its residents is the only way to ensure Israel's future as a democracy with a Jewish majority.


a) the article is biased

b) what about Haredi super - breeding?
for every secular 1-2 kids, the average Haredi home will produce 10 kids-
it is projected that Haredim will be in majority by this target date of 2020



Monday, December 24, 2012

The Truth! [Well, almost, captain]







In Klippah, unlike horseshoes, "Almost" usually is enough to get the job done.

Take Yishmael for example; his approach to "religion" and source of his claims to land is his belief that he is close, close enough even, and that equates to victory.

While Israel is in Galus, the "essence" of Torah is somewhat tainted, awaiting the revelation of Torat Moshiach to clarify matters where doubt has arisen, or where the Truth has remained buried within Torat Moshe. This revelation is prophesied in Malachi as Torat Emes. In fact, in places in the Talmud where the Rabbis do not know an answer in a particular matter, the Talmud offers a phrase [in short form] called "Teiku" - "Tishbi [Elijah] will answer questions and difficulties." On that level, the Jewish People will have every tool necessary to perpetuate God's Eternal Rule.

Thus while in exile, there are a lot of areas in the Torah that remain subject for debate, areas that are vital to our existance, future, etc. Among the topics of interest: Biblical Borders [of Geulah], Torah of Geulah/Moshiach themselves, role of the gentile in the future, etc. Moshiach must clarify these matters, or at least the era of. [which per force then Moshiach would be a part of]

Yishmael says: God gave "a" Torah [which the Jews "distorted" he claims] but we don't know its absolute truth...yet neither do the Jews [he says]..so if they aren't on it, and "I" am close, I guess "I" win! This is klippah's strategy: if its not [yet] you, it must be me. [Klippah, i.e. impure people; with or affected by Amalek, the nation who seeks to destroy Holiness]

Every Wisdom or Truth is susceptible to an Amalekite attack, from Torah to science. The "Higgs Boson" search is one area that is famished with Amalekite infrastructure, due to the nature of the prize: being associated with the God Particle of Physics. It allows one to pasken out Creation[ism] while being soaked within his ego...all by being [and selling] "how close he is" while taking advantage of a reality that is not yet known or distinguishable. If this happens in science, it is unfortunate that it happens against Torah as well.






Scientists at Europe's CERN research centre said on Wednesday they may be able to definitively announce at a conference next March that they had discovered the elusive Higgs boson.

But they dismissed suggestions circulating widely on blogs and even in some science journals that instead of just one type of the elementary particle they might have found a pair.

CERN researchers said in July they had found what appeared to be the particle that gives mass to matter, as imagined and named half a century ago by theoretical physicist Peter Higgs. But they stopped short of saying for sure it was the Higgs boson, pending further research.

"The latest data we have on this thing we have been watching for the past few months show that it is not simply 'like a Higgs' but is very like a Higgs," said Oliver Buechmuller of the CMS team at CERN's Large Hadron Collider. "The way things are going, by the Moriond meeting we may be able to stop calling it Higgs-like and finally say it is the Higgs," he told Reuters, referring to the annual gathering which will take place at the Italian Alpine resort of La Thuile, 120 kms (75 miles) from CERN, on March 2-9.

Suggestions that there may be two Higgs, a particle that made formation of the universe possible after the Big Bang 13.7 billion years ago, emerged after a progress report by CERN scientists last week. Its definitive discovery that would almost certainly win a Nobel Prize.

Commentators, including one in the journal Scientific American, said differing measurements - so far unexplained - of the new boson's mass that were recorded by ATLAS - a parallel but separate research team to CMS at CERN, indicated there might be twin particles.

"That is quite an exaggeration," said Pauline Gagnon, a scientist with ATLAS. "The facts are so much simpler: we measure one quantity in two different ways and obtain two slightly different answers.

"However, when we combine all the information, we clearly get only one value. Since we have checked all other possibilities, it really looks like a statistical fluctuation. Such things happen." Buechmueller, whose CMS team found no such variation in their measurements, said he agreed there was no special relevance in the ATLAS discrepancy. "It will probably disappear when more data is in and analysed," he added.

The $10-billion Large Hadron Collider, a 27-km (17-mile) circular construct deep under the Franco-Swiss border, will shut down for some two years in February to allow a doubling of its power and its capacity to probe cosmic mysteries


 Look Closer. Are you being told the almost truth, or the simply put: Truth. The fine print is where the pudding is, and unfortunately, if the print isnt on the newest iphone app, its not worth the investigation. And for that, Sheker reigns and Truth waits. 
Teiku.

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Magog's Gog and Gog's Magog




Pollard was working with Pakistani intelligence. 

What is interesting, is that in Islam, Pakistan is the arena for their Gog V' Magog war. From their end, End Times are real, as Pakistan is the heart of Islamic turmoil on many fronts. It makes sense that Jews [invested in dodgy affairs] would be involved with Pakistan on issues they would deem "Messianic." The signs are on many fronts.

Another interesting point to take in is this: Gaza, and its relationship to Jewish Gog V' Magog.

If the Geulah comes B' Rachamim [which I believe and feel it will]; a righteous [from teshuva] generation [in motion to develop] - then perhaps we caused the bomb shower to be reduced to a poor showing of fireworks.

Converge on Jerusalem - check
War - check
Ishmaelites - check
All the Nations against Israel - check
Prophetic - check
End of days - check
etc. etc. - CHECK

It could be that from here on out, the Geulah will awaken le'at le'at - as it is told in Talmud Yerushalmi Berachot: The Geulah will come like the first rays of sunlight in the early morning hours, growing stronger and stronger as the day commences.
We see this in Malchus Beis David in Zerach and Peretz: First is Zerach, with the rays of light "Zerach" the horizon, followed by Peretz, "busting" out into broad daylight.

Esau shows us in the Torah, that his weakness is that he is tired, and too tired to fight once the fight is on; Esav never even has the power to fully engage Yaakov, resorting to a kiss/bite of the neck, that Yaakov endures, and eventually wrestles Esav's angel instead - and wins, meriting Israel by name. The most Esav can do, is to let us not pass through his land. In the End of Days, we are promised Mt. Seir anyways, and perhaps the Jews of the diaspora will be urged to make Aliyah anyways. 
Ishmael is to do Teshuva in the End of Days, and hopefully the moral of Arab Spring was to come to this place: a place of Teshuva.
"Melech Moshiach": is the Spirit of God hovering over the waters of Creation - Midrash Rabbah
What are these waters? - Teshuva
Lets hope the World has now had enough; enough of the lies, enough Amalek, enough burying children, etc. etc.
Now is the time of Teshuva. And for whatever Pollard has or has not done, it is on record from Ha Rav Mordechai Eliyahu that the Shechinah resides with Pollard, awaiting their release, and a pending Geulah. The one major Pollard brings to the table, is his Teshuva, as witnessed by the Rav. 
We need a change of Mazal [from galus neurosis] - any change on that level needs a major zchus. There is no more of a zchus, than Teshuva.
In the time of the Exodus, Moshe was delivered to Israel, to Zchus his dor. 
May Moshiach be amongst us, with eternal Teshuva in hand, to provide the necessary zchus, to bring a Geulah B' Rachamim, Clouds of Shamayim, and a Heavenly Temple ready to serve in  and a Mazal Tov Meod to Mankind.
[B''H Moshiach is with us, at least in spirit (as the Midrash suggests) and has reduced the Chevlei to a birth like the day of Chava in gan Eden, the way birth is supposed to be!]


Dawn.com:


In 1984 and 1985, Mr Pollard passed on to his Israeli handlers several sets of official US documents about the Kahuta plant.

Mr Pollard, although an American citizen, spied for Israel while working for the US Navy’s intelligence service. In 1987, he was sentenced to life in prison for spying but can be released on parole on Nov 21, 2015.

Last week the CIA released a classified document — “The Jonathan Jay Pollard Espionage Case: A Damage Assessment” — it had prepared on Oct 30, 1987.

The document, declassified on an appeal by the George Washington University’s National Security Archive project, contains previously classified information about Mr Pollard’s activities as an Israeli mole in the US intelligence system. The archive is a non-profit organisation working to reduce secrecy in the US government.

In a testimony to the trial court, former US defence secretary Caspar Weinberger said the documents Mr Pollard provided to the Israelis could fill a 6’x6’x10’ space.

The CIA document showed that Mr Pollard focused on “Arab (and Pakistani) nuclear intelligence; Arab exotic weaponry, including chemical weapons; Soviet aircraft; Soviet air defences; Soviet air-to-air missiles and air-to-surface missiles; and Arab order-of-battle, deployments, readiness”.

In a section titled “Implications of Compromises — What Israel Gained from Pollard’s Espionage”, the document reveals that “Mr Pollard’s stolen material, from the Israeli perspective, provided significant benefits [redacted] …. Page 59, [redacted] Pollard’s deliveries concerning PLO headquarters near Tunis, Tunisian and Libyan air defences, and Pakistan’s plutonium reprocessing facility near Islamabad”.

Israel used this information to attack the PLO headquarters in Tunis in Oct 1985.

There are 10 references to Pakistan and its nuclear facilities in the document but details have been erased from the copy posted on the archive’s website.

At one place, the CIA says that “political and economic intelligence was deemed less valuable than military and technical material” about all Middle Eastern countries, which one of Mr Pollard’s handlers, Yagur, defined as “ranging from Morocco to Pakistan and from Lebanon to Yemen.”

Some pages also contained information about the Afghan war and Pakistan’s role in that war.

Although the CIA document does not reveal what the Americans knew about Pakistan’s nuclear programme, other recently declassified documents, posted on the same website do.

The records show that by 1980s the Americans knew that Pakistan had a fairly advanced nuclear programme, but Islamabad’s support for the US-led war against the Soviets in Afghanistan prevented them from taking any major action against the Pakistanis.

In July 1982, the Reagan administration sent former CIA deputy director Gen Vernon Walters to meet Gen Muhammad Ziaul Haq with US intelligence reports about “an upswing of clandestine Pakistani efforts” to procure nuclear weapons. Confronted with the evidence, Gen Zia acknowledged that the information “must be true”, but restated earlier promises not to develop a nuclear weapon and made pledges to avoid specific nuclear “firebreaks”.

In 1986, Arms Control and Disarmament Agency director Kenneth Adelman also warned the White House that Pakistan was secretly enhancing its nuclear capability, but “top levels of the US government let relations with a friendly government supersede non-proliferation goals as long as there was no public controversy”.

One document claims that the Reagan administration did not even want the Pakistanis to share their secrets with them because they “feared that … the ‘truth’ would have made it impossible for them to certify to Congress that Pakistan was not developing nuclear weapons”.

And on that certification “rode the continued flow of aid to assist the Afghanistan resistance,” the document adds.

The records suggest that “lack of trust and confidence was an important element in the US-Pakistan relationship, as it is today”.

By the early summer of 1981, State Department intelligence estimated that the Pakistanis were “probably capable of producing a workable device at this time,” although the Kahuta enrichment plant was unlikely to produce enough fissile material for a test until 1983.

But in December 1982, Secretary of State George Shultz warned President Reagan of the “overwhelming evidence that Gen Zia has been breaking his assurances” of not making a nuclear weapon.

In the spring of 1987, senior State Department officials wrote that Pakistani nuclear development activities were proceeding apace and that General Zia was approaching a “threshold which he cannot cross without blatantly violating his pledge not to embarrass the President”.


Thursday, December 13, 2012

Textbook Insanity: Again and Again and...







Here's the 'ole story again [and again and again]:

Pras vs. Edom - Talmud Yoma

And yes, we know its a machlokes who wins, but can't anybody tell us WHEN this will finally go down?!

The Americans are threatening again. Then it will be Israel, followed by another provocation by North Korea, throw in some Putin, and stiff neck from Merkel with a closing performance of good 'ole Assad - Sgt. Chemical.

Oy, its the same players over and over again...Ad Matai Hashem! No need for the baalagan, just bring Moshiach already, as its clear the world save for these neanderthals are ready for it B''H.
I'm actually starting to think we are closer than ever, as virtually every prediction is nearing its conclusion.

And although I'm mixed on my belief system of expectation 2012, the Terence McKenna theory of Timewave Zero [search the blog for past articles] seems the most true - as we are definitely headed into unprecedented novelty these days.

...and now this update from the Persian Gulf -


The Telegraph




The flagship $4.5 billion carrier, a 100,000 ton floating city with a crew of 5,000, was despatched four months earlier than planned to bolster the United States Navy's already formidable force in the region, the Fifth Fleet. Its mission is to keep some of the world's busiest shipping lanes open in its most combustible region; at any moment America's standoff with Iran could escalate into a crisis.

"Could there be a threat?" asked Rear Admiral Mike Shoemaker, the man who would command any mission to force open the sea lanes. "Yes is the answer. Is it manageable? Also yes."

Admiral Shoemaker, a wiry man with a Navy buzz cut, runs through the likely threats: anti-ship cruise missiles; midget submarines; speedboats on suicide missions. Iran's conventional air force and navy are clapped out and no match for the US Navy, but they had years of practicing mine-laying. "If they sunk a tanker, that could shut the Strait for a couple of days or a week," Adm Shoemaker said. "But we could deal with that quite quickly. A massive mine-laying effort, though, would take a while to clear." Related Articles

Life on board an American aircraft carrier off the coast of Iran 24 Nov 2012 Britain views pre-emptive strike on Iran nuclear facilities as illegal 26 Oct 2012 Armada of international naval power massing in the Gulf as Israel prepares an Iran strike 15 Sep 2012

Iran plans military exercises in preparation for Israeli strike 16 Sep 2012 Last year, Iran's navy held mine-laying wargames. In September, America and its allies ran their biggest ever mine clearance-exercise, indicating the likely nature of a future conflict. This weekend the carrier is briefly docked in Bahrain, the headquarters of the Fifth Fleet.

But if America is drawn into another big war in the Middle East, a key nerve centre for operations will be the admiral's bridge on the ship, a surprisingly uncluttered space. There are only two computer screens, a big telephone, and an old-fashioned ship's compass. The view is spectacular, high above a heaving flight deck, the length of three football fields, where screaming jets land and take off. Most are flying daily combat missions over Afghanistan.

As the ship patrolled not far from the Strait of Hormuz, officers on the bridge pointed out the different planes: Hawkeyes, which see over the horizon with radar; Prowlers, which blind the enemy's electronic eyes; and Hornets, the ones that do the damage by dropping precision-guided bombs as heavy as one ton on any target the admiral chooses. Iran's nuclear sites are within easy range. The bombs are now nearly all precision-guided by laser and GPS. The biggest can be carried by a jet, but landing with a one-ton bomb is too risky so they are dropped at sea if they are not used against an enemy.

The crew boast of being ready for any mission, 24 hours a day, but there is little enthusiasm for a new war with Iran, America's old enemy in the region - and currently crowing over the fact that long-range rockets it supplied to Gaza were a key part of the armoury launched against Israel 10 days ago.

"I hope it's never going to happen, nobody on this boat is looking for a fight, but if it does we have the capability," said Ordnance Handling Officer William Donals, 46, the man in charge of preparing bombs to be loaded on planes.

"I was in the Gulf in the run-up to the 2003 war and back then it was different," he said. "There was a lot more energy and a sense that something was about to happen. This time it's more a sense that we are ready if we are needed." The Iran problem is a chief foreign policy headache for the newly re-elected President Obama, who tried a mix of sanctions and diplomacy in his first term to stop Iran's alleged ambition to build the Bomb, without much success. Now he is expected to try again with greater urgency, and so the temperature is rising again in the Gulf. The White House has not ruled out air strikes; Israel gives the impression it is only American pressure that has restrained it from sending in the bombers.

Iran, its economy buckling under sanctions, has pledged that if it is attacked it will block the Strait of Hormuz, the 21-mile wide entrance to the Gulf, and thus send the price of oil sky high, jeopardising the fragile world economy. On an average day, eight supertankers each carrying two million barrels of oil traverse the Strait - about 35 per cent of the world's seaborne oil. There are fears that as Iran's economy crumbles, its leaders could at some point lash out in desperation. America has promised to keep the Strait open at all costs, and that may become Admiral Shoemaker's mission. Prior to being an admiral he was an aviator - the usual career route to the top in the US Navy. He has years of experience in the Gulf region, mainly flying against the forces of Saddam Hussein.

What keeps him up at night is fear of stumbling into an accidental war. The two nations have repeatedly skirmished at sea since Iran's Islamic revolution three decades ago. Now both are careful. American and Iranian ship's officers regularly communicate by radio, speaking in English, carefully avoiding discussion of politics. Even the Revolutionary Guard's navy is generally polite. Its boats sometimes sail close to American vessels, but not too close.

However, the two sides have started to probe and test each other. Earlier this month the Pentagon announced that two Iranian jets had fired at a US drone for the first time, as it flew over international waters. The drone got away, in an embarrassing demonstration of the competence of Iran's pilots. Then Iran announced new war games, to test the air defences of its eastern border.

The Americans say they are careful not to push back too hard. "We are aware of what we are doing and always working hard to avoid some kind of miscalculation, something that could be interpreted as a hostile action," Adm Shoemaker said. Last time he was in the Gulf, during the 2011 pull-out of US forces from Iraq, Iranian leaders crowed about the US "retreat", and when the Stennis departed for home waters, they boasted that they would never let her return. Navy officers have the unenviable task of trying to work out whether bombast like that emanating from the regime is wild rhetoric or cold, hard threat. "I wish I knew a little bit more about them," Admiral Shoemaker said. Asked if he thought Iran's leaders were rational, he admitted: "It's a good question. I am not really sure."

Those under his command wonder what they are sailing into. "There may be a lot of rhetoric at the diplomatic level, but it's just day-to-day routine operations for us," said Steve Scott, the commanding officer of an F-18 Superhornet Squadron. "When you are far out at sea, you can feel a little bit cut off from the real world, but we all watch television and we know about the situation with Iran," said Michael Nicholas, 29, whose job is to move jets around the deck prior to take-offs and landings.

"We feel we have a purpose, we are the first line of defence, and we are right in their back yard."

Meanwhile, life on board goes on in the cramped and labyrinthine passageways and huge hangars. The working day is long and hard, typically 12 hours spent under a baking Gulf sun for those working on deck, with a weekly half day off. Enlisted sailors sleep 100 to a dormitory and eat in canteens. Many admit they are desperate to get home towards the end of an eight month mission. There is one treat to look forward to - the 100th day at sea, when the ship traditionally drops anchor and lowers a deck so sailors can swim in the ocean, with a barbecue afterwards on the flight deck.

Alcohol is strictly forbidden, prayers are said over the ship's intercom, and although dating is allowed - there are 600 women on board, and the average age of ratings is about 19 - "intimacy" is not. Time off is spent catching up with sleep or watching the ship's 24-hour movie channel.

Tension is never far off, and on the flight out to the carrier from Bahrain in a Greyhound logistics plane, The Sunday Telegraph got a glimpse of it when a mystery reconnaissance aircraft emerged from Iranian airspace. "That's never happened before," said Lieutenant-Commander Julio Galvan, 39, the pilot, as he peered through the cockpit's window. For a while the two aircraft flew in parallel, a mile or so apart, before the mystery plane banked and headed towards the mountains of Iran's coast in the distance.

Soon afterwards, the Greyhound flew high over the Strait, where dozens of supertankers were queuing as they waited their turn to get through. "I don't think that plane was any threat to us," Commander Galvan said. "We've learnt to live with the Iranians."

That understanding has helped keep the peace in the one of the world's most militarised waterways. But how long it will last is anybody's guess.




 
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